Bryce green web

Dr Bryce Wilkinson

Senior Fellow

Bryce is a Senior Fellow at The New Zealand Initiative, and also the Director of the Wellington-based economic consultancy firm Capital Economics. Prior to setting this up in 1997 he was a Director of, and shareholder in, First NZ Capital. Before moving into investment banking in 1985, he worked in the New Zealand Treasury, reaching the position of Director. Bryce holds a PhD in economics from the University of Canterbury and was a Harkness Fellow at Harvard University. He is a Fellow of the Law and Economics Association of New Zealand.

Bryce is available for comment on fiscal issues, our poverty, inequality and welfare research. He also has a strong background in public policy analysis including monetary policy, capital markets research and microeconomic advisory work.

Latest reports:
Walking the path to the next global financial crisis (2021)
Illusions of History: How misunderstanding the past jeopardises our future
Policy Point: A risky place to do business (2021)
Policy Point: Is climate change a key risk to global financial stability? (2020)
Roadmap for Recovery: Briefing to the Incoming Government
Pharmac: The right prescription?
Research Note: Doing whatever it takes with someone else’s money (2020)
Policy Point: FDI: Unjustified Urgency (2020)
Research Note: Deficit spending in a crisis: why there is no such thing as a free lunch (2020)
Research Note: Quantifying the wellbeing costs of Covid-19 (2020)
Research Note: How bad might the lockdown be for jobs and income? (2020)
Work in Progress: Why Fair Pay Agreements would be bad for labour (2019)

Scroll down to read the rest of Bryce's work.

Phone: +64 4 472 5986


Recent Work

jacinda ardern square

Yet more Government contempt for New Zealand’s democracy

This morning’s newspapers carried a full-page open letter from 42,576 signatories pointing out how undemocratic is one aspect of the Government’s three waters legislation. The Government’s Bill confiscates local communities’ investment in water assets without compensation, and wrecks their future governance. Read more

Dr Bryce Wilkinson
Insights Newsletter
2 December, 2022
Martien Lubberink

Podcast: Martien Lubberink talks with the Initiative about bank profitability, regulation, and taxes

Victoria University's Associate Professor Martien Lubberink specialises in banking regulation. In Newsroom, Prof Lubberink warns of unintended consequences of setting extra taxes on current bank profits. Read more

Dr Eric Crampton
Dr Bryce Wilkinson
Martien Lubberink
9 November, 2022

Media release: Government’s claims lack evidence and risk overall health benefits – report

Wellington (Tuesday, 30 August 2022) – Fiction over fact is the basis for the Ministry of Health’s (MOH) new policies, research by think tank The New Zealand Initiative reveals. The fact that neither the Government nor the MOH could produce objective data to support their claims that systemic racism is significantly to blame for poor Māori health outcomes is the most alarming revelation in the Initiative’s new report, Every life is worth the same – The case for equal treatment. Read more

Dr Bryce Wilkinson
Media Release
30 August, 2022
NewstalkZB Mike Hosking square

NZ Initiative op-ed argues against notion RBNZ's decisions led to inflation

An op-ed published by Dr. Bryce Wilkinson from the NZ Initiative has come out. It essentially is rebutting what many have been saying in that New Zealand’s inflation rate is a result of deliberate Reserve Bank decisions back in 2020 to save jobs and the economy at the expense of inflation. Read more

Dr Bryce Wilkinson
Newstalk ZB - Mike Hosking Breakfast
19 August, 2022

Media release: The false “inflation versus job” narrative

Wellington (Thursday, 18 August 2022): A Policy Note by Senior Research Fellow, Dr Bryce Wilkinson was published today by the New Zealand Initiative. It rebuts the argument that New Zealand’s inflation rate today is a result of deliberate Reserve Bank decisions in 2020 to save jobs and the economy at the expense of inflation. Read more

Dr Bryce Wilkinson
Media Release
18 August, 2022

Stay in the loop: Subscribe to updates